Volume 38, Number 1
+ Volume 38, 2019
Issue 1
+ Volume 37, 2018
+ Volume 36, 2017
+ Volume 35, 2016
+ Volume 34, 2015
+ Volume 33, 2014
+ Volume 32, 2013
+ Volume 31, 2012
Science, Technology and Development Vol. 33 (3), 2014
Research Article
Forecasting of Garlic Area and Production in Pakistan
Sobia Naheed, Irum Raza, M. Asif Masood, Muhammad Zubair Anwar and Nusrat Habib
Abstract: Present study is designed to forecast area and production of garlic in Pakistan, using past trends. Secondary data for the period of 1980-1981 to 2011-2012 were used to estimate future prospects of garlic area and its production in Pakistan, using (ARIMA) model. ARIMA (0, 1, 1) was appropriate form for estimation. The ARIMA model showed that forecast values of area and production would be 6.75 (000’hec) and 57.11 (000’t) in 2012 and 2013, respectively. If the present growth remains the same then the area and production of garlic crop would be 6.98 thousand hectare and 59.65 thousand tonnes, respectively in 2016 and 2017. The capacity of superior area and production lies in adequate accessibility of guidance to farming society, soil preservation and renovation and particularly the accommodating government strategies concerning garlic farming in the country. These forecasts will help the decision makers to make better policies regarding crop production, price and consumption.
      Fulltext   HTML  /  PDF    |  
  User ID
  Forgot Password?   |   Register Now
   Quick Links
  About the journal
  Current issue
  Editorial board
  Submit manuscript
  Abstracting and indexing
  Article submission
  Guide to authors
  For subscribers
Science, Technology and Development © 2021                                                                                                                                   Maintained and Developed by ansinet